Nate Silver stated that they’d probably rather have Vice President Kamala Harris' hand to play. Nate Silver said that Harris's recent surge in national polls was supported by his election forecast and model, which show the Democratic nominee ahead of the outgoing president Trump by three percentage points, 49.1 percent to 46.1 percent, on a national level.
In the published post, Silver stated that a lot of polling since their last update, and the model mostly liked it for Harris, especially the national polls, which show her lead expanding to an even 3 points.
Silver pointed out that there is a noteworthy exception in Arizona, even though Harris has been polling well overall. The former president was leading the Democratic contender by six points in a recent Grand Canyon State USA TODAY poll.
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Nate Silver minimized the outcomes from Arizona at the same time. His model somewhat shrugs off Arizona polling since it's relatively unlikely to be the tipping-point state, he wrote, despite the fact that they are awful for Harris.
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