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Recent nationwide surveys from NPR, PBS, and Marist have indicated that Vice President Kamala Harris is leading former President Donald Trump by a mere margin of 2 points among likely voters, or 50% to 48%, within the poll's margin of error, plus or minus 3.7 percentage points.
The polls in the battleground states that will ultimately determine the outcome of the presidential contest also support this theory. In the Sun Belt states of Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina, Harris and Trump are virtually tied, with maybe a slight Trump bias.
Although Harris has a marginally bigger advantage in the Great Lakes states of Wisconsin and Michigan, those advantages are easily explained by possible polling error. Furthermore, it looks like a jump ball given the most direct routes to 270 electoral votes for both Trump and Harris, which include recent polling in crucial Pennsylvania.
Also Read: US election 2024 results: Donald Trump may lose Presidential polls due to this factor
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