Nifty @ 22,000: Is the bull market aging like fine wine?
«The setup for 2023 was very powerful as its previous calendar year witnessed only 10 new 52-week highs, while for 2024, its previous calendar year saw a staggering 29 new 52-week highs. Today markets opened at new lifetime highs marking the second new lifetime high in just 15 days of calendar year 2024,» said Paras Matalia of SAMCO Mutual Fund.
While shares of heavyweight RIL (Reliance Industries) have been giving support to Nifty with 8% upside in just 4 trading sessions, the rally in 2024 has been largely led by uptick in the IT index with growing optimism about increased discretionary spending and strong deal wins.
«The US bond yield edged lower as market participants bet on the Fed easing cycle, which is expected to start in March. Investors are likely to take a more measured approach due to the release of Chinese GDP and UK inflation data this week,» Vinod Nair, Head of Research, Geojit Financial Services, said.
After buying Indian equities worth over Rs 66,000 crore in December, foreign institutional investors or FIIs have been net buyers to the tune of Rs 11,000 crore in the first two weeks of the calendar year.
While anticipated rate cuts this year are expected to further fuel the rally till the Lok Sabha elections, analysts warn of intermittent volatility especially due to Budget and occasional profit booking.
«The recent upswing warrants a certain degree of caution as, many times, such sharp rallies do not sustain. Thus, we believe that the near-term view will be cautious and suggest profit booking in areas of exuberance, especially in the smallcap space,» Pranav Haridasan, MD and CEO at Axis Securities.
Nifty technical outlook
Nifty was trading in a consolidation manner in the last couple of weeks
