



TCS Q4 steadies, but AI fears and macro risks keep investors wary
Bloomberg’s 1% estimate.Growth was broad-based across key geographies and segments, except BFSI (banking, financial services and insurance) and CMT (communication, media and technology).Even so, investor sentiment remains fragile. Fears of AI-led deflation, the recent new product launch by Anthropic, and geopolitical tensions have weighed on IT stocks.
TCS shares slipped another 3% on NSE in early trade on Friday.TCS exited FY26 with CC revenue down 2.4% year-on-year, reflecting muted international business and continued client caution. Weak organic growth remains a key irritant.“FY26 was an exceptionally weak year for TCS from a growth perspective, but with solid margins and a stable deal-win showing,” said a Nuvama Research report dated 9 April.Management expects international revenue growth to be higher in FY27 versus FY26, aided by a strong pipeline and recent wins.Total contract value (TCV) stood at $12 billion in Q4FY26, up 29% sequentially, taking FY26 TCV to $40.7 billion versus $39.3 billion in FY25.
The order pipeline continues to be driven by vendor consolidation deals, with the order book mix at 55:45 between renewals and new programmes.Nuvama expects growth to recover over the next few quarters as TCS regains lost ground, contingent on macro conditions and generative AI trends gradually turning favourable.TCS said AI projects are moving from ‘proof of concepts’ to ‘large projects’. AI now accounts for about 8% of revenue, or roughly $2.3 billion annualized.
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