U.S Presidential Elections 2024: Harris slightly ahead of Trump in national polls, swing states could be the deciding factor
national polls, Harris is leading former President Donald Trump by 3.1 points. But this edge has fluctuated; according to Activote data, Harris's lead has shrunk to only 1.6 percent. In national polls, Harris has continued to have a modest advantage, but the race is very close, especially in important swing states, as per the reports of MSN.
Gender and demographic divides
The polls highlight a growing gender divide, with Harris gaining more support among women, particularly in urban and suburban areas. Harris leads among urban voters (58 percent) and suburban voters (56 percent), while Trump dominates in rural regions, capturing 63 percent of rural voters. The demographic divide is also evident, as Harris polls strongly among young voters, female voters, and Black voters, leading Trump by +52 points among Black voters. Meanwhile, Trump holds an advantage with male voters, the 65+ age group, and Latino voters, where he has a +6 point lead.
Also Read :U.S Polls: Trump leads by a huge margin in these battleground states
Independent voters and third-party impact
Independent voters, a crucial group in this election, are leaning more towards Harris, according to a Morning Consult megapoll. However, this group has shown significant variation in different surveys. Independent voters were also the most likely to support third-party candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. before he suspended his campaign in August and endorsed Trump. Despite this endorsement, neither Harris nor Trump has seen a substantial boost in support from
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