The Macro Picture:
India's Resilience Amid Global Shifts
India continues to display impressive macroeconomic resilience. Key indicators such as the current account deficit, fiscal deficit, and inflation are under control, positioning the economy for sustainable growth. However, global trends, particularly foreign institutional investors' (FIIs) preference for US assets, have presented challenges. The so-called «US exceptionalism» has diverted FII flows away from Indian markets, particularly large-cap stocks. Yet, this trend cannot last indefinitely. India's structural growth story, underpinned by a significantly higher growth rate than the US, will eventually draw global investors back, especially into undervalued large-caps.
The Valuation Debate:
Caution on Mid- and Small-Cap Exuberance
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