Lok Sabha Elections 2024: Can BJP sweep THESE states under Congress rule?

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Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) perform in these states under Congress's rule? And what happens if the BJP wins in these three states? The answer may (or may not) lie in the performances in previous elections. It is a well-known fact that the results of Lok Sabha polls is not always on the lines of the state assembly polls. Simply put, if one party wins the assembly polls, it doesn't guarantee that the same party will also win the parliamentary polls.

There are many incidents to prove this. Let's take the states one by one. What do opinion polls say? The India TV-CNX Opinion Poll suggested that the BJP is likely to win the currently Congress-ruled Karnataka by winning 22 out of 28 Lok Sabha.

India Today's Mood of the Nation also gave an edge to the BJP in Karnataka. It revealed that the NDA (BJP + JDS) may win 24 seats and the INDIA bloc is likely to bag four seats. Trends in previous elections: Karnataka assembly polls have shown a “revolving door" pattern – meaning the government (party in power) has changed every five years.

However, the state has consistently voted in favour of the BJP in the Lok Sabha polls. Last time, it was in 1999 that the Congress had won more Lok Sabha seats than the BJP. The Congress had bagged the maximum 18 Lok Sabha seats in Karnataka in 1999, while the BJP had won just eight.

After 1999, the BJP has been winning more Lok Sabha seats than the Congress – although the state government has been shuffling between the BJP and the Congress. What happened in previous polls? In the 2013-2014 election cycle, the BJP won the Lok Sabha Elections in 2014, while it lost the assembly elections in 2013. In the 2013 assembly polls, the BJP had won 40 seats, while the Congress had won 122 seats and the JD(S)