Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Governor Shaktikanta Das has said the October inflation print could exceed September's 5.5%, and odds have lengthened on a durable win against inflationary pressures after the Trump victory raised the likelihood of both higher US borrowing and consumer prices — a combination that limits headroom to lower rates more quickly in the world's biggest economy.
«October inflation CPI numbers are again going to be very high, perhaps higher than the September numbers,» Das said at an event on November 6. The RBI governor emphasised that he had highlighted «significant upside risks to inflation». The RBI has projected CPI at 4.5% for FY25.
IDFC First Bank, who initially predicted a December cut, has now pencilled in February as the earliest date when India might begin easing rates. State Bank of India, the nation's largest bank, too, expects a February rate cut, the bank's chairman CS Setty said in its post-result conference.
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