President-elect Donald Trump.
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JPMorgan analysts estimate that the elimination of electric vehicle (EV) tax credits and subsidies could reduce Tesla's profits by up to 40%, equating to a potential loss of approximately $3.2 billion. These subsidies have been crucial in making EVs more affordable and stimulating consumer demand. Eliminating them may lead to higher vehicle prices, potentially reducing sales and profits.
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In addition to policy changes, Tesla is facing increased competition in the EV market. Ford and General Motors (GM) have reported stronger growth in EV sales compared to Tesla, highlighting the intensified competition. Ford sold 30,176 all-electric vehicles in Q4, with an annual growth of 35% for their EV sales, leading to a positive market response and a 2.3% increase in stock price. GM sold about 44,000 EVs in Q4, showing a significant year-over-year increase of 126% and resulting in a 0.8% rise in stock price.
Analysts are divided on Tesla's future. Some maintain an optimistic outlook, citing potential regulatory support under the new administration.