India have had the upper hand over Pakistan in recent ICC tournaments, securing victories in both the 2024 T20 World Cup and the 2023 ODI World Cup. However, in ICC Champions Trophy, Pakistan had defeated India in 2017 to lift the trophy. With greater familiarity with Dubai’s conditions, Rohit Sharma’s team will start as favourites for Sunday’s high-stakes encounter.
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Pakistan, however, will take some confidence from the nature of the pitches in Dubai. The slow surfaces, recently used for the ILT20, could bring their spinners into play and potentially curb India’s power-hitting in the middle overs. With a 1 PM start, dew is unlikely to influence proceedings, making the toss a crucial factor. In similar conditions last year, Sri Lanka capitalised on winning tosses in a home series against India, setting targets in the mid-200s and defending them successfully with spin. Pakistan will hope to replicate that formula, but India have also taken key lessons from those encounters.
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In their opening game against Bangladesh, India initially wanted to bowl first but later realised that the slowing pitch and absence of dew made chasing tricky. Teams are unlikely to make that mistake again in Dubai. Expect batters to go hard in the powerplay before the sluggish surface takes effect, making run-scoring