U.S Elections 2024: Kamala Harris' polling average has shrunk, says Nate Silver
Trump by just 2.5 points, according to information released by Silver on Sunday. According to the numbers, Trump is at 46.2% while Harris is at 48.7%. Harris' lead has shrunk as Trump has gained 1.1 points from the previous week.
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Electoral college projections
As per the reports of MSN, Silver’s presidential model also updated the odds for winning the Electoral College. According to his latest forecast, Trump’s chances have risen to 63.8%, while Harris’ chances are now 36%. This shift highlights that Harris is facing more competitive conditions in the race for the Electoral College.
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Swing state performance
In key swing states, Harris and Trump are closely matched. In Pennsylvania, Harris is ahead by 0.3 points, though Trump has gained 0.9 points recently. Michigan shows a similar trend, where Harris maintains a 1.4-point lead, despite Trump gaining 0.4 points. The race in Georgia is very tight, with Harris holding a slight 0.1-point lead after Trump gained 1 point this week.
In Wisconsin, Harris has a stronger lead of 2.2 points, though Trump’s gain of 1.1 points indicates a tightening race. Nevada shows Harris leading by 0.5 points, but Trump also gained 0.3 points in that state. On the other hand, Trump is leading in North Carolina by 1.1 points and in Arizona by 2.1 points, with recent gains of 0.8 and 1.5 points, respectively.
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