While presidential and House contests are often won by the same party, they aren't always. This year, Republicans could reclaim the presidency while losing the House — a reverse flip that has no precedent in this two-party era, dating back to the Republican Party's creation just before the Civil War, according to NYT News Service.
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Still, House and district-level presidential results have become highly correlated in recent years, and some key House districts will give us clues not just about which way the House might go, but the presidency as well. They could also provide answers to some of the big demographic questions looming over American politics.
The House map is a lot like the Electoral College map: Only a relatively small number of districts and states are truly in play for both sides. Some of these battlegrounds overlap while others do not, but the trends that emerge across the nation's congressional districts will help us understand not just how a majority was won, but how the presidency was, too.
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