Who is correct, Nate Silver or Allan Lichtman? Both wizards bicker over 2024 US elections, trade barbs on social media
US Presidential elections, and so has Allan Lichtman. However, they often have varied opinion on multiple regions, including the key swing states, and with the US elections 2024 in November, it is to be seen, who ends up as the ultimate accurate predictor.
Who is reading the pulse of the American people better?
Election prediction is not just calculation, but put in simple terms, is a means to understanding the heart of the American people, and who they really wish to see as their next leader. In this race, Lichtman or Silver are not far behind, looking at their accuracy and track record, which they may be looking at maintaining in the current US polls 2024 too.
Meanwhile, Silver and Lichtman are engaged in their own feud, in order to prove their accuracy in the US polls 2024. Silver is of the opinion that Lichtman's latest predictions are based on the wrong 'keys' and simply 'arbitrary'.
Lichtman responds to Silver's attacks
Allan Lichtman did not take Nate Silver's words too kindly, and clearly stated that the latter may just have applied or duplicated his 'keys'. Moreover, he alleged that Silver is not a historian or a political scientist, and does not even have due academic credentials to back up his claims. He also referred to the times when Silver was proven wrong in the previous editions of the US elections, something that could see a repeat in the current US elections 2024, where political intensity has reached its height between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, the two Presidential candidates.
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