Why hasn’t Bitcoin caught a wave as markets surge?

investmentnews.com:

Bitcoin missed out on a rally in global markets sparked by cooling US inflation, triggering some caution about the token’s outlook.

The largest digital asset on Thursday mostly held losses of 0.7% from a day earlier, while stocks and bonds extended gains on bets that an end to Federal Reserve monetary tightening is getting closer.

Bitcoin has stalled this month after a June surge courtesy of a flurry of applications by investment heavyweights like BlackRock Inc. to start US exchange-traded funds investing in the token’s spot market. Investors are now asking whether Bitcoin’s 83% rebound this year still has room to run.

“Bitcoin was an outlier in terms of widespread risk seeking in pretty much every asset class after the US inflation data,” said Tony Sycamore, a market analyst at IG Australia Pty. “To me that’s not a good sign.”

The odds of Bitcoin falling toward $25,000 to $26,000 — roughly the zone of its 200-day moving average — are building, according to Sycamore.

Crypto analysts flagged speculation that the US might be readying to sell some seized Bitcoin as a possible reason for its muted post-inflation performance.

“The disinflationary environment coming through after relatively quick interest-rate increases should be good for risk assets, including crypto,” said John Toro, head of trading at digital-asset exchange Independent Reserve. “But suggestions that Bitcoin seized by the US are being moved around — which served to highlight the risk that some could be sold — hit sentiment.”

The US inflation rate slid to a more than two-year low of 3%, contributing to climbs exceeding 1% in global shares, a bond gauge, gold and oil on Wednesday. A dollar index hit a 15-month low, sending ripples through currency markets.

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