Closest U.S. election in a century: That's how the contest is between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris
Donald Trump and Kamala Harris debated on September 10, polls have indicated that although the vice president appears to have gained a little nationwide advantage over her Republican opponent, their race is still too close to call and well within the margin of error. This is particularly evident when considering the Electoral College.
Take a look at the surveys conducted by NBC News and CBS News on Sunday. Despite the fact that their surveys were among Harris' strongest to date, she only leads by 4 and 5 points, respectively.
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In the CBS News/YouGov and NBC News surveys from 2016 and 2020, the Democratic nominee's biggest leads were at least twice as great as where Harris is now standing. Based on the most recent CNN Poll of Polls, Harris leads by an average of three points. In the nationwide polls, neither contender has been able to open up a lead of five points or more. This encompasses the time when Joe Biden was the presumed Democratic nominee and then the front-runner.
It's remarkable that nobody has led by five points or more this cycle because that happens very infrequently. One candidate nearly always gains a sizable lead at some time, even in contests that wind up being quite close. Most voters seem set in their ways this year. Voters seem to believe that even Harris' dominant debate performance against Trump has just slightly shifted the scales.
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