US election 2024: Has Donald Trump lost key states against Kamala Harris even before November 5?
Kamala Harris has stormed into contention in the fast-growing and diverse states of Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and North Carolina, not long after Donald Trump had seemed on the verge of running away with those states when President Joe Biden was still the Democratic nominee.
The new polls from The New York Times and Siena College show how quickly Harris has reshaped the terrain of 2024 and thrust the Sun Belt back to the center of the battleground-state map.
Harris is now leading Trump among likely voters in Arizona, 50 per cent to 45 per cent, and has even edged ahead of Trump in North Carolina — a state Trump won four years ago — while narrowing his lead significantly in Georgia and Nevada.
Trump and Harris are tied at 48 per cent across an average of the four Sun Belt states in surveys conducted August 8 to 15.
That marks a significant improvement for Democrats compared with May, when Trump led Biden 50 per cent to 41 per cent across Arizona, Georgia and Nevada in the previous set of Times/Siena Sun Belt polls, which did not include North Carolina.
The new polls provide more evidence that Harris is successfully consolidating parts of the Democratic base that had been waffling over supporting Biden for months, particularly younger, nonwhite and female voters.
Last week, Times/Siena polling showed that Harris had pulled ahead of Trump by a narrow margin in the three northern battleground states of Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Those states are generally considered the linchpin of any Democratic path to
