US election 2024 result prediction: Kamala Harris is gaining new strength against Donald Trump, show exit polls
It has been decades since the polls have shown the nation facing a presidential race that is so close across so many states in both the Sun Belt and the Rust Belt. The tightly contested landscape means the race remains highly uncertain as the campaign enters its final hours, as per a report on NYT News Service.
Harris is now narrowly ahead in Nevada, North Carolina and Wisconsin, the polls show, while Trump leads in Arizona. The polls show them locked in close races in Michigan, Georgia and Pennsylvania. But the results in all seven states are within the margin of sampling error, meaning neither candidate has a definitive lead in any of them.
Both candidates have multiple pathways available to capture the 270 Electoral College votes required to claim victory, assuming that polls are not dramatically underestimating the support for one or the other. In such a close race, even a small systemic polling error could tip the contest decisively in either direction.
But there are signs that late deciders are breaking for Harris: Among the 8 per cent of voters who said they had only recently decided on their vote, she wins the group by 55 per cent to 44 per cent. (With Election Day nearing, 11 per cent of voters remained undecided or persuadable, down from 16 per cent about a month ago.)
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