Kamala Harris is gaining ground in the Rust Belt. The states that were once the US manufacturing centers, employing a large part of the population in manufacturing jobs, voted heavily in favor of Donald Trump in 2016. But, Axios has reported that Kamala Harris has closed the gap in the region comprising Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Missouri, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, West Virginia, and Wisconsin. Harris's increased popularity is in contrast to FiveThirtyEight's national average when Joe Biden trailed Donald Trump by 2.4 percentage points in Michigan, 2.3 percentage points in Wisconsin, and 4.4 percentage points in Pennsylvania.
In a poll conducted by New York Times/Siena College, Kamala Harris was found to lead Donald Trump by four percentage points in Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Michigan among likely voters in the states.
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Separately, in his election model, pollster Nate Silver found the vice president up by 3.8 percentage points in Michigan. She was leading by 3.6 percentage points in Wisconsin and 1.9 in Pennsylvania. Silver's FiveThirtyEight, also found Kamala Harris up in Michigan by 3.3 percentage points; 3.3 percentage points in Wisconsin; and 1.6 percentage points in Pennsylvania.
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These findings