Kamala Harris unlikely to save the Democrats even if she replaces Biden, says a professor who accurately predicted 9 of the last 10 elections
US President Joe Biden is behind many national surveys, especially after the first presidential debate. Many Democrats who are desperately trying to replace Biden on the ballot box have found a consensus candidate in Vice-President Kamala Harris. Biden has not stepped down and has said that he intends to contest the election. As the Democrats grapple with this challenge, Allan Lichtman, a presidential historian and professor who had correctly predicted nine out of the last 10 elections, has a word of advice for the Democrats. He has said that Biden is the best person to contest the upcoming election and Harris cannot rescue the Democrats.
Why is Biden a good candidate?
Allan Lichtman has said that there are 13 key indicators in the form of true or false questions and if a party fails in six or more of the 13 indicators, they lose the election. He stated that Biden has passed in seven key indicators including incumbency, no significant primary contest, no recession during the election, a strong long term-based economy based on real per capita economic growth compared to the average of the previous two terms, major policy changes, no major scandal pertaining directly to the president and an uncharismatic challenger.
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Kamala Harris:
By removing Biden and giving a nomination to Harris, Lichtman believes that the Democrats lose two keys secured by Biden: incumbency and the primary contest. He pointed out the
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